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Titley, M.A. ; Willis, S.G.

Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070

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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

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https://doi.org/10.5285/5bf972a8-c9a3-4721-8089-552dfe3ff124
This dataset is derived from modelled changes to the distributions of >12,700 terrestrial mammal and bird species under four different climate scenarios, projected to 2070. It contains national-level projections of species richness change under each climate scenario, based on species' modelled climatic niches, as well as projected range shifts in relation to political borders globally.
Publication date: 2021-01-22
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More information

View numbers valid from 01 June 2023 Download numbers valid from 20 June 2024 (information prior to this was not collected)

Format

Comma-separated values (CSV)

Spatial information

Study area
Spatial representation type
Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system
WGS 84 / Pseudo-Mercator

Temporal information

Temporal extent
2018-01-01    to    2070-12-31

Provenance & quality

Data were generated using ensemble Species Distribution Models, trained on five climatic predictor variables and projected using future climate data from three general circulation models. Species distributions were modelled at a half-degree resolution. We followed best-practice guidelines for creating the models, and validated the projections using ten-fold cross validation with present climate data. These methods have been peer-reviewed and are widely used. Data were checked for errors before publication. See supporting documentation for more information.

Licensing and constraints

This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

Cite this dataset as:
Titley, M.A. ; Willis, S.G. (2021). Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/5bf972a8-c9a3-4721-8089-552dfe3ff124

Citations

Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., & Willis, S.G. (2021). Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(7) https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2011204118

Correspondence/contact details

Mark Titley
Durham University
 mark.a.titley@durham.ac.uk

Authors

Titley, M.A.
Durham University
Willis, S.G.
Durham University

Other contacts

Rights holder
Durham University
Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk
Publisher
NERC Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk

Additional metadata

Topic categories
biota
INSPIRE theme
Environmental Monitoring Facilities
Keywords
biodiversity , Biodiversity , Climate and climate change , climate change , political borders , species distribution models
Last updated
08 February 2024 17:39